๐ Weekly Insights โ August 25 to August 31, 2025
Despite Fridayโs higher close, profit-taking has started across AI and Quantum names. Macro tone is cautious into late-August.
๐ Key Market Drivers
- ๐ Profit-taking in AI & Quantum: Under-the-surface trimming even with a green Friday.
- ๐ฆ Fed path: Willingness to cut is on the table โ does that mean September? Size/timing remain uncertain.
- ๐ Seasonality: SeptemberโOctober are historically soft; correction risk elevated.
- ๐บ๐ธ Tariffs: Reports of potential tariffs (e.g., pharma, furniture) and more tariff deadlines ahead add headline risk.
Takeaway: Donโt chase strength blindly โ use rallies to manage risk and tighten stops.
๐ Major Indices & Crypto
๐ Dow Jones (US30)
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 45,762
- ๐ Close: 45,641.7
- ๐ Trend: With the new month for futures, uptrend expected to continue.
๐ S&P 500 (SPX)
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 6,478.89
- ๐ Close: 6,466.92
- ๐ Drivers: Nvidia & Apple in focus; Nvidiaโs China negotiations could sway SPX, US30, and US100.
๐ป Nasdaq 100 (US100)
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 23,794.10
- ๐ Close: 23,508.8
- ๐ Drivers: Nvidia & Apple remain core tech catalysts.
- โณ Outlook: Short-term up; medium-term flat.
๐ฉ๐ช DAX 40
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 24,457.59
- ๐ Close: 24,360.85
- ๐ Drivers: ECB considering rate reductions.
- โก Outlook: Volatility likely around policy headlines.
โฟ Bitcoin (BTC)
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 117,622
- ๐ Close: 112,671 (at time of writing)
- ๐ Note: Sunday evening selling pushed to ~110,800.
- ๐ Rotation: Temporary shift of flows toward Ethereum.
ฮ Ethereum (ETH)
- ๐ผ Weekly High: 4,820.55
- ๐ Close: 4,767.93
- โก Note: Spiked ~15% on Friday on liquidation flows; leverage-sensitive price action.
- ๐ Outlook: Benefiting from short-term rotation; volatility elevated.
๐๏ธ Earnings to Watch
Weโll update this section shortly with the weekโs key earnings (by day).
โ ๏ธ Closing Note: Markets remain extended into a seasonally weak window. Use position sizing and stops; expect headline-driven swings.
๐๏ธ Seasonal Caution: September to mid-October often sees drawdowns. Stay disciplined and selective.