Aug 18–24, 2025
RichStrike Markets
⏳ Brace for Turbulence: Fed Minutes, Jackson Hole & Expiry Test Market Highs
Markets on edge: record highs meet Fed signals, Jackson Hole, and expiry-driven volatility.
Updated: Aug 17, 2025
📌 This Week in One Glance
- 🏦 Fed Minutes (Wed) — Sep cut vs. higher-for-longer
- 🎤 Jackson Hole (Thu–Fri) — policy tone watch
- 🗣️ Powell (Fri) — key risk event
- 🔄 F&O Expiry (Thu–Fri) — rollover volatility
- 🛍️ Earnings — WMT, TGT, HD, PANW, INTU, ZM & more
- 📊 Indices — SPX 6,487H / 6,364L / 6,446C • US100 23,966H / 23,485L / 23,704C • Dow 45,289H / 43,910L / 44,925C • DAX 24,545H / 23,947L / 24,386C
- 💰 BTC — 124,494H / 116,795L / 118,240C → volatility tied to Fed & risk mood
🏦 Fed & Policy Watch
FOMC Minutes (Wed), Jackson Hole (Thu–Fri), Powell (Fri). Hawkish tilt → pressure on risk; dovish hints → relief rally potential.
🔄 Futures & Options Expiry
Rollover/expiry on Thu–Fri can amplify intraday swings across US500, US100, and Dow. Expect technical whipsaws as positions reset.
🛍️ Earnings to Watch
Monday, Aug 18: Riskified (RSKD), Freightos (CRGO); Fabrinet (FN), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), BHP (BHP)
Tuesday, Aug 19: Home Depot (HD), XPeng (XPEV), Medtronic (MDT); Keysight Tech (KEYS), La-Z-Boy (LZB), NRX Pharma (NRXP)
Wednesday, Aug 20: Baidu (BIDU), Analog Devices (ADI), Target (TGT), Lowe’s (LOW), iQiyi (IQ); Unifi (UFI)
Thursday, Aug 21: Canadian Solar (CSIQ), OSI Systems (OSIS), ScanSource (SCSC), Walmart (WMT); Intuit (INTU), Workday (WDAY), Zoom (ZM)
Friday, Aug 22: Gold Fields (GFI)
📊 Index Technicals
- 🇺🇸 S&P 500 (SPX) — H: 6,487.7 | L: 6,364.3 | C: 6,446.2 | Support: 6,360→6,140 | Resistance: 6,490→6,550 | Bias: Correction risk, rollover pressures
- 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 100 (US100) — H: 23,966 | L: 23,484.7 | C: 23,703.6 | Support: 23,480→23,200 | Resistance: 23,970→24,200 | Bias: Big two-way swings expected
- 🇺🇸 Dow Jones (DJI) — H: 45,288.5 | L: 43,909.7 | C: 44,925 | Support: 44,000→43,900 | Resistance: 45,300→45,800 | Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above 44,000
- 🇩🇪 DAX — H: 24,544.75 | L: 23,947.05 | C: 24,385.95 | Support: 23,950→23,600 | Resistance: 24,550→24,800 | Bias: Consolidating near highs
💰 Crypto
₿ Bitcoin (BTC) — H: 124,494.10 | L: 116,795.10 | C: 118,240.2 | Support: 116,800→114,500 | Resistance: 124,500→127,000 | Bias: Neutral with downside risk; volatility tied to Fed events
⚠️ Closing Note: Indices remain at elevated levels. Multiple catalysts this week raise the risk of sharp swings. On SPX, a downside extension toward 6,140 is possible. Trade with caution.
🗓️ Seasonal Caution: The stretch from September to mid-October is historically weak for equities. With markets stretched, pullback risk is elevated.